How Trump’s steel and aluminium tariff shapes future world trade

18 April 2019·
Krisna Gupta
Krisna Gupta
,
Bayu Sutjiatmo
,
Muhamad Kurniawan
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Book
Abstrak
In this information era where globalization and advancement of technology helps reduce trade cost, Trump just proposed his idea of having a tariff to help The United States’ steel and aluminium industry. Many pro-free trade economists still argue that the policy will hurt world trade. The cost can be so high; Australia, Japan, and European Union are trying to get exemption from the tariff. We show there is terms of trade gain for implementing import tax for a big player such as the United States of America (USA). This turns into a tit-for-tat game, which the best response for the rest of the world is to retaliate. In turn, WTO’s role turns questionable and international trade gets harder to predict. Furthermore, we provide theoretical explanation why this will hurt the world as a whole.
Jenis publikasi
Publikasi
Routledge
publication Lain-lain
Krisna Gupta
Penulis
Tenaga Ahli Madya

Nama saya Krisna, sering dipanggil juga Imed. Saya adalah Tenaga Ahli Madya di Dewan Ekonomi Nasional. Riset saya tentang dampak kebijakan perdagangan dan investasi terhadap pertumbuhan sektor manufaktur di Indonesia. Saya menggunakan metode persamaan linear struktural seperti GTAP, tapi juga menggunakan berbagai teknik ekonometrika seperti gravity models.

Saya saat ini mengajar Program Sarjana Ilmu Ekonomi Universitas Indonesia. Saya juga adalah mitra senior di Center for Indonesian Policy Studies. Saya cukup aktif berkontribusi menulis di media massa seperti Kompas, Jakarta Post, dan East Asia Forum.