Krisna Gupta

My name is Krisna, some call me Imed. I am an advisor at the Indonesian National Economic Council. My research is about trade and investment policy and how it affects Indonesian firms. I use some structured equation such as GTAP model, but also do some empirics like gravity models.

I lecture at Universitas Indonesia. Additionally, I assume a senior fellow position at Center for Indonesian Policy Studies.

I contributed to several projects with Bank Indonesia, Bappenas, ADB, Prospera, and ERIA, among others. Occasional oped writer, typically at Kompas, Jakarta Post and East Asia Forum. Please see CV or contact me for more information.

A chapter for ERIA on Indonesian trade in services.

This paper is a part of a book project by ERIA on service trade. I work on Indonesia's general services trade and how it relates to manufacturing production

Jul 15, 2024

Indonesian trade and industry data 2018-2023 from SEKI Bank Indonesia

The recent Indonesia’s 200% tariff aimed at Chinese products proposed by the Indonesian Minister of Trade, Zulkifli Hasan (Zulhas), startled businesses. Some love it, some others despise it. One thing for sure though, it created (still is, matter of fact) another confusion after series of blunder by the Ministry of Trade. This 200% tariff is no different, where Luhut just toned down the 200% tariff hype. We also have no idea in what form this tariff will be (MFN? Anti dumping? Safeguard? or even some form of NTM?) What exactly the government want? No idea.

Jul 8, 2024

Analysis of the Effect of Indonesia-Japan Economic Partnership Agreement (IJEPA) on the Trade in Service Sector in Indonesia

May 29, 2024

Mobile Legends: Bang Bang
Mobile Legends: Bang Bang

I am a gamer but I stick to the more casual/ez to play these days.

May 26, 2024

The trade balance and why we can't buy nice things

The government has again been resorting to curbing imports in a bid to manage the current account balance, but this policy has not had a significantly positive impact on either the trade balance or manufacturing growth; rather, studies show it can have the opposite effect and eventually reduce exports.

May 20, 2024

Labor-machine substitution in agriculture

Today, February 25, 2024, there’s a lively online discussion about Indonesia’s increasingly high food prices. Some people are comparing rice prices abroad vs. in Indonesia, asking why other countries can keep prices low. The answer, of course, is that abroad (at least in Western countries) rice can be imported freely without government intervention. The follow-up question: if we’re an agrarian country, how can domestic production be more expensive than imports? There are many answers to this, and they’ve been addressed elsewhere – for instance in this CIPS publication or Arianto Patunru’s blog. Excellent reads, both of them.

Feb 25, 2024

Hilirisasi dan Peningkatan Kompleksitas Ekonomi

Jan 22, 2024

Indonesia doubles down on nickel export bans and downstreaming

Nov 27, 2023

Greening the grid and what it takes
Greening the grid and what it takes

I present my paper on how the impact of meeting the NDCs to the electricity prices and emission and its challenges.

Nov 23, 2023

Visi Misi Pemilu 2024: Menakar janji industrialisasi dan hilirisasi Paslon Capres-Cawapres

Nov 14, 2023